Friday, May 16, 2014

Election Results 2014- Muslim Vote Bank Became Obsolete In Indian Politics


   The sequence of the events which made Muslim vote bank obsolete in Indian Politics

Results of India Elections 2014 are important with respect to Muslim vote bank in India. The reason behind this assumption is as follows.

1) Narendra Modi who has been under relentless fire of Muslim community for 2002 Gujrat riots has decided the agenda of the election 2014, other parties in opposition only reacted to him and his theories.
2) Modi's assumption that Congress will not cross double digit figure in any state proved true.
3) Modi's forecast, that Congress will hit lowest seat mark of it's history proved fatally right, with Congress finishing the tally of just 46 seats.
4) Modi's forecast that BJP will secure the largest majority after 1984 proved very correct with BJP securing single handed majority in Loksabha with 284+ seats.
5) As Priyanka Gandhi became active in UP campaign, after coming under continuous fire from Modi  for her husband's dubious role in Haryana Land Scam, URDU media hailed her for directly taking on Narendra Modi and Muslims seen ray of hope in her personality to counter Modi,  few analysts predicted that Congress will eat up Muslims vote share from SP and BSP, which will increase BJP tally in UP by more than 15 seats. This calculation also proved very much correct and BJP+ secured 73 seats out of 80 seats of UP.
6) By and Large, Muslims in India was confused throughout elections and couldn't decided whom to vote to counter Modi juggernaut. During March month's 1st fortnight URDU media campaigned hard to vote for AAP and Kejriwal as he was directly challenging Gujarat model of Narendra Modi, by directly entering in to Gujarat and launching scathing attacks on Modi. In UP Mulayam was seen by half of the Muslims as the only person who can counter Modi and by half of the Muslims as the person who let the blood of Muslims to flow loosely in Muzaffaranagar. even after that majority of the Muslims in UP seen Mulayam as formidable figure who could challenge Modi wave. Which made Muslim votes badly fractured, paving the way for BJP landslide in UP.
   After the 1st 4 phases of elections are over and Modi started launching attacks on Jamai Babu-Robert Vadra for his land scam in Haryana and Rajasthan, Priyanka reverted back with aggressive stance and started hitting Modi for his role in Gujarat riots and his attacks on Sonia and Rahul. In the mean time BJP released the film Damad Shri describing Vadra's land scams, powered by WSJ's revelation on Vadra's exponential growth in wealth. These sequence of events fooled Muslims. The URDU media launched campaign to vote for Congress en mass to counter Modi onslaught, which proved suicidal for SP and BSP. As at least 20 seats which was going to SP and BSP shifted in favour of BJP, as Muslims votes shifted to Congress from these two regional parties, converting worst ever political scenario for regional champions.
   As a result of confusion in Muslim voters; their choice changed shifting from AAP to SP to Congress and badly dispersed voting pattern among Muslims made very bad impact on Muslim votes and not a single Muslim won from Uttar Pradesh. This is for the first time since independence that not a single Muslim MP could secure the berth in Loksabha from UP.







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